Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Mutilvera		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.3	3	2.25
	3.57	2.66	2.41
	3.57	2.66	2.41
	3.37	2.9	2.28
	3.35	2.8	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.6)	2.82 ↓ (3)	2.3 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutilvera
27.3%

Draw
32.7%

Arenas Club de Getxo
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mutilvera's form might have worsened.

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mutilvera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mutilvera - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Lamadrid D. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Valino A. ⚽,
36', Telletxea I. 🟥,
44', Dios J. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 2, Losantos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 3, Valino A. ⚽,
89', 🟥,
90', 1 - 4, Garcia A. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Mutilvera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arenas Club is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenas Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arenas Club will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mutilvera won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mutilvera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.04.24	San Juan - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Utebo - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Mutilvera - Zaragoza B	1:3 ✺
31.03.24	Alavés B - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Mutilvera - Egüés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zaragoza B	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Alavés B - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Egüés	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.12.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mutilvera	0:0
07.05.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mutilvera	0:0
08.01.23	Mutilvera - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0
12.03.22	Mutilvera - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0
24.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mutilvera	1:3

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