Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Izarra		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.55	3	2.06
	3.77	2.9	2.24
	3.69	2.85	2.15	Watch
	3.56	3.1	2.09
	3.55	3	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.36)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
25.6%

Draw
30.8%

Arenas Club de Getxo
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

28.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

28.2%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Club de Getxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Diaz Montes M. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Collado U. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Izarra won 2.

Recent matches Izarra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arenas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Izarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arenas is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Izarra won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Izarra won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	SD Logroñés - Izarra	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	Izarra - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Utebo - Izarra	4:1 ✺
03.11.24	Izarra - Eibar B	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Tudelano - Izarra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTLLT
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	UD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Zaragoza B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:4 ✺
26.10.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.03.24	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0
19.11.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Izarra	1:2
05.03.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Izarra	3:1
16.10.22	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2
20.03.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Izarra	1:1
31.10.21	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:3
10.11.19	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:1

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