Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Mutilvera		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.73
	4.5	3.3	1.8
	4.51	3.15	1.86
	4.52	3.14	1.85
	4.4	3.28	1.76
	4.2	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (2.8)	3.24 ↑ (3.02)	1.8 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutilvera
20.9%

Draw
28.3%

Athletic Bilbao B
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

30.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mutilvera's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mutilvera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mutilvera - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Mutilvera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic Bilbao B is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.10.23	UD Logroñés - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Mutilvera - Brea	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Gernika - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Mutilvera - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Náxara - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.10.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Alavés B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Egüés	3:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
27.09.23	Crystal Palace U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.09.23	Izarra - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTW

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