Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.45	5.15
	1.62	3.53	5.81
	1.6	3.48	5.67	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.66	3.59	5.29
	1.58	3.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	5.53 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
56.9%

Draw
26.4%

Mutilvera
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

27.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Gernika - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Okolo ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gernika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gernika is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.25	UD Logroñés - Gernika	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Gernika - Beasain	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gernika - Ebro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWT
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.25	Mutilvera - Basconia	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Utebo - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Mutilvera - Zaragoza B	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar B - Mutilvera	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Mutilvera - Sestao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.02.24	Mutilvera - Gernika	3:0
01.10.23	Gernika - Mutilvera	1:1
14.05.23	Mutilvera - Gernika	0:1
15.01.23	Gernika - Mutilvera	2:1
15.05.22	Gernika - Mutilvera	0:1
08.01.22	Mutilvera - Gernika	0:0

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