Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Mwadui		Coastal Union

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.7
	2.62	2.75	2.7
	2.55	2.8	2.6
	2.66	2.77	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	2.77 ↑ (2.75)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mwadui
34.1%

Draw
32.3%

Coastal Union
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

32.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mwadui have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Coastal Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mwadui than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mwadui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coastal Union than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coastal Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 13).

Mwadui has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Coastal Union is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mwadui could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Coastal Union have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mwadui won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mwadui won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwadui FC
Tanzanian Premier League
18.12.20	Mwadui - Polisi Tanzania	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Mwadui - Young Africans	0:5 ✺
06.12.20	Mtibwa Sugar - Mwadui	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Prisons - Mwadui	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Mwadui - Gwambina	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
13.12.20	Coastal Union - Prisons	0:0 ✺
05.12.20	Coastal Union - Mbeya City	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Polisi Tanzania - Coastal Union	1:1 ✺
24.11.20	Coastal Union - Singida Black Stars	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Coastal Union - Simba	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.02.20	Mwadui - Coastal Union	2:0
20.10.19	Coastal Union - Mwadui	2:1

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