Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Mwadui		Simba

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.4
	7	3.95	1.36
	8.1	4.1	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.37 ↑ (6.6)	4.02 ↑ (3.63)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mwadui
12.2%

Draw
22.4%

Simba
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

24.5%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

20.3%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mwadui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mwadui than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 3).

Mwadui has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Simba is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mwadui could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Simba have a series of home games.

In this match Simba is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mwadui won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Mwadui won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwadui FC
Tanzanian Premier League
09.04.21	JKT Tanzania - Mwadui	3:1 ✺
12.03.21	Mbeya City - Mwadui	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Mwadui - Azam	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Mwadui - Namungo	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Singida Black Stars - Mwadui	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTLL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.04.21	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
09.04.21	Al Ahly Cairo - Simba	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Simba - Vita Club	4:1 ✺
16.03.21	Simba - Al-Merreikh	3:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
10.03.21	Simba - Prisons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
31.10.20	Simba - Mwadui	5:0
20.06.20	Simba - Mwadui	3:0
07.02.19	Simba - Mwadui	3:0
15.02.18	Mwadui - Simba	2:2
17.09.17	Simba - Mwadui	3:0
20.05.17	Simba - Mwadui	2:1

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