Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 13

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Simba		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.5	11.5
	1.19	5.54	14.4	Watch
	1.2	5	15
	1.2	5.88	12.8
	1.16	5.5	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 (1.19)	5.48 ↑ (5)	13.54 ↓ (14.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
76.7%

Draw
16.6%

Mtibwa Sugar
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.7%

18%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Simba - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Abel H. (G) 17. Bajaber M. 30. Camara N. 23. De Reuck R. 21. Kagoma Y. 12. Kapombe S. (C) 35. Maema N. 5. Mligo A. 34. Mpanzu E. 40. Mwalimu S. 31. Nangu W.	38. Malimi C. (G) 20. Chicharo 16. Collins V. 13. Datius P. 6. Lyawatwa H. 21. Magata F. (C) 27. Manga O. 45. Mkopi S. A. 17. Msafiri K. 2. Mwashilindi E. 9. Simchimba A.
Substitutes
18. Abraham M. . Alexander E. 36. Chasambi L. . Duchu 38. Kibu D. 4. Masinde V. 11. Mukwala S. 7. Mutale J. 37. Semfuko H.	29. Chota G. . Haji R. 31. Kutisha T. (G) 14. Laurent A. 26. Liuzio J. 19. Marungu O. A. 4. Mbigiri S. 11. Mhesa I. . Mwalugala E. 12. Nyangi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Bajaber M. ↓, Kibu D. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Mpanzu E. ⚽, Kapombe S. (A),
32', Datius P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Simchimba A. ↓, Marungu O. A. ↑,
61', Mwashilindi E. ↓, Chota G. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Magata F. ⚽,
64', Mwalimu S. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
64', Kibu D. ↓, Mutale J. ↑,
74', Mligo A. ↓, Abraham M. ↑,
74', Maema N. ↓, Masinde V. ↑,
80', Kapombe S. 🟨,
83', Manga O. ↓, Mhesa I. ↑,
87', Malimi C. 🟨,
90', Msafiri K. ↓, Nyangi J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Simba won 5.

Simba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Simba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Simba is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Simba won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:5. (average 2.1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Simba won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:1. (average 2.9:0.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Azam - Simba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
07.12.25	Simba - Azam	0:2 ✺
04.12.25	Simba - Mbeya City	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.11.25	Stade Malien - Simba	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Simba - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
03.12.25	JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Kinondoni MC - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
03.05.24	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0
17.08.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Simba	2:4
11.03.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Simba	0:3
30.10.22	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0
23.06.22	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0
22.01.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Simba	0:0
14.04.21	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	5:0

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