Match Info

Date: 16 April 2021, Friday


	Mykolaiv		Obolon

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	3.9
	2.04	3	3.5
	2.1	3.18	3.69
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.02	3.1	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.19)	3.04 ↓ (3.07)	3.68 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mykolaiv
45.1%

Draw
30.1%

Obolon
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

20.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mykolaiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mykolaiv than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mykolaiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Obolon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Mykolaiv is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Obolon is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mykolaiv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mykolaiv won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mykolaiv won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Mykolaiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.04.21	Hirnyk-Sport - Mykolaiv	0:3 ✺
05.04.21	Mykolaiv - Kramatorsk	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Volyn Lutsk - Mykolaiv	0:0 ✺
26.03.21	Mykolaiv - Alians Lypova Dolyna	2:0 ✺
19.03.21	Kharkiv - Mykolaiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTWL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.04.21	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	VPK-Agro - Obolon	1:0 ✺
31.03.21	Obolon - Kremin Kremenchuk	3:0 ✺
26.03.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:1 ✺
19.03.21	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Obolon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.10.20	Obolon - Mykolaiv	1:1
11.07.20	Mykolaiv - Obolon	0:1
09.09.19	Obolon - Mykolaiv	2:0
04.11.18	Obolon - Mykolaiv	2:1
21.07.18	Mykolaiv - Obolon	0:0
25.03.18	Mykolaiv - Obolon	1:0
19.08.17	Obolon - Mykolaiv	2:0

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