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Málaga - Levante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 4
  • Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, New World Sport 4, Sporty TV
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4
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    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 7
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    colombiaColombiaESPN 4
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkDisney+
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN 4
    finlandFinlandDisney+
    franceFranceDAZN France, Disney+
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
    icelandIcelandDisney+
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
    maltaMaltaTSN Malta 1
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
    paraguayParaguayESPN 4
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 4
    portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    spainSpainM+ LaLiga
    swedenSwedenDisney+
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN+, SportsEngine Play
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 4
    Málaga Levante
    Málaga Levante
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.42 ↑
    (2.24)    		 3.31 ↑
    (3.2)    		 3.02 ↓
    (3.42)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Málaga
    39.5%    		Draw
    28.8%    		Levante
    31.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    42.5% 29.7% 27.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    42.7% 29.6% 27.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    38.1% 42.9% 19%

    Málaga - Levante Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Levante will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Málaga (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Levante (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 40%). Levante (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainHerrero A. (C)
    31. SpainRafita
    15. SpainRecio A.
      4. SpainGalilea E.
    12. SpainSalinas J.
    22. SpainLorenzo D.
    18. SpainMartinez P.
    10. SpainLarrubia D.
      8. SpainDotor C.
    19. SpainCruz J.
      9. SpainChupe
    		13. AustraliaRyan M. (G)
    29. SpainPerez N.
      4. SpainDela
      2. AlgeriaMandi A.
    23. SpainSanchez M.
    18. FranceBardeli E.
    20. SpainRey O.
      8. SpainOlasagasti J. A.
      7. SpainBrugue R. (C)
      9. SpainRomero I.
    24. ArgentinaFernandez T.
    Substitutes
    39. MoroccoAznou A.
    25. SpainBerrocal J.
      2. SwedenCajuste J.
      6. SpainEnriquez R.
    17. SpainJauregi E.
    13. SpainLopez C. (G)
    23. SpainMerino I.
    11. SpainMunoz J.
      5. SpainPastor A.
      3. SpainPuga C.
    14. SpainRodriguez R.
    		14. SpainCabello J.
    27. SpainCortes P.
      1. SpainCunat P. (G)
    17. SpainGarcia V.
    11. BelgiumMusuayi Y.
      3. AustriaNdukwe I.
    10. SerbiaRatkov P.
      6. SpainRequena D.
    33. SpainSantos M.
      5. SpainSotelo H.
    16. FranceTape A.
    22. GermanyToljan J.
    Coaches
         SpainFunes J.
    		     PortugalCastro L.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 9', Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
    • 25', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
    • 34', Rafita 🟨,
    • 45+1', Martinez P. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 59', Martinez P. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
    • 59', Cruz J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
    • 60', Romero I. ↓, Musuayi Y. ↑,
    • 67', Rafita ↓, Puga C. ↑,
    • 67', Lorenzo D. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
    • 70', Dela 🟨,
    • 77', Bardeli E. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
    • 77', Perez N. ↓, Toljan J. ↑,
    • 77', Fernandez T. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
    • 86', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
    • 86', Dotor C. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
    • 90+2', Puga C. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Mandi A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Málaga: Calero F. (Ribs Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Murillo D. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Levante: Etta Eyong K. (Injury) Primo A. (Shoulder Injury)
  • There are questionable in Málaga: Nino A. (Injury)
  • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.2:0.3).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Levante: 0.23% Malaga: 0.15%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    17Levante61238:12-45
    20Malaga70343:12-93

    Last Results with these Odds

    Málaga - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Málaga CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.08.26 Real Madrid - Málaga 4:0 ✺
    24.08.26 Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña 1:1 ✺
    19.08.26 Atlético Madrid - Málaga 2:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    12.08.26 Málaga - Fulham 2:2 ✺
    06.08.26 Málaga - Al-Arabi Doha 4:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7
    LTLTW
    - Levante UD
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.08.26 Levante - Betis 5:2 ✺
    24.08.26 Osasuna - Levante 0:0 ✺
    16.08.26 Espanyol - Levante 3:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    05.08.26 Villarreal - Levante 1:0 ✺
    01.08.26 Levante - Albacete Balompié 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1
    WTLLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga2
    08.02.25 Málaga - Levante 1:1
    27.11.24 Levante - Málaga 4:2
    17.03.23 Málaga - Levante 0:0
    04.12.22 Levante - Málaga 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    19.04.18 Levante - Málaga 1:0
    01.12.17 Málaga - Levante 0:0
    02.05.16 Málaga - Levante 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Málaga CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.10.26 Málaga - Espanyol ✺
    - Levante UD
    Spanish LaLiga
    16.10.26 Deportivo A Coruña - Levante ✺
    12.10.26 Levante - Sevilla ✺

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