Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.84	3.15	4
	1.81	3.28	4.86
	1.79	3.25	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	4.34 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
50.5%

Draw
28.5%

Don Benito
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-3%)

Mérida AD - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Mérida AD is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Don Benito is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.02.22	Coria - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Mérida AD - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Mérida AD - Vélez	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Xerez Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Ceuta - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTW
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.02.22	Don Benito - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Cacereño - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Don Benito - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	San Roque de Lepe - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Don Benito - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.02.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	0:0
29.11.20	Mérida AD - Don Benito	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.01.20	Don Benito - Mérida AD	1:2
25.08.19	Mérida AD - Don Benito	1:1

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