Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Coria		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	3
	2.5	2.65	3
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.75	2.68	3.05
	2.62	2.7	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.22)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	3.02 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
36.1%

Draw
33.7%

Mérida AD
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

21.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coria - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Coria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mérida AD in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mérida AD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.02.22	Villanovense - Coria	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Coria - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
06.02.22	Córdoba - Coria	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Coria - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
23.01.22	Antequera - Coria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.02.22	Mérida AD - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Mérida AD - Vélez	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Xerez Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Ceuta - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Mérida AD - Panadería Pulido	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.10.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:1
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:0
07.10.20	Coria - Mérida AD	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.04.19	Mérida AD - Coria	1:1

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