Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Recreativo Huelva		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.75
	1.5	3.5	6.1
	1.44	3.55	6.29
	1.53	3.69	6.1
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.4	4.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	3.79 ↑ (3.58)	6.42 ↑ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
62.2%

Draw
23.8%

Xerez Deportivo
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

25.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

19.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recreativo Huelva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Recreativo Huelva - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Quintana C. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Casares M. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Senra N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 2 - 2, Charid I. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Pecellin D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Xerez Deportivo is Relegated to

In recent matches, Recreativo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xerez Deportivo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Recreativo is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recreativo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recreativo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Recreativo Huelva	5	4	0	1	10:4	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.04.26	Antoniano - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Recreativo Huelva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	CD Extremadura - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Recreativo Huelva - La Unión	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	UCAM Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.04.26	Xerez Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Minera - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Xerez Deportivo - Linares Deportivo	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Águilas - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.24	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez Deportivo	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.23	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez Deportivo	0:0
04.12.22	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	0:1

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