Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Tamaraceite

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.8	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.04	3	3.5
	2.05	2.96	3.96
	2.03	3.14	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.53)	3 ↓ (3.54)	3.67 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
44.9%

Draw
30.3%

Tamaraceite
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

20.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.

Tamaraceite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamaraceite's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+28.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamaraceite, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mérida AD - Tamaraceite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tamaraceite has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mérida AD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Mérida AD - Moralo	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.10.21	Mérida AD - Coria	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Numancia - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.10.21	Cadiz CF B - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWW
- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Tamaraceite - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Cacereño - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Tamaraceite - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	San Roque de Lepe - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Tamaraceite - Antequera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL

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