The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mérida AD 51.7%
Draw 26.4%
Coria 21.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.6%
24%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
23%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Mérida AD - Coria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 14. Carrillo H. 4. Gonzalez Nacho 20. Barbu 5. Sanz H. 18. Dibrani B. 8. Solar M. 6. Lopez J. 7. Areso J. (C) 24. Kone 11. El Ftouhi S.
13. Garrido J. (G) 20. Leon I. (C) 4. Calleja J. 23. Dominguez A. 3. Guzman J. 14. Moreno A. 8. Llorente E. 17. Blanco A. 18. Gallastegi J. 7. Ramos I. 9. Palacin P.
Substitutes
23. Almeida G. 22. Aranda A. 21. Beneit R. 10. Doncel C. 16. Fito 26. Gil A. (G) 17. Guagua D. 9. Hallsson S. 2. Jay A. 13. Juhasz I. (G) 15. Salguero A. 19. Sandoval D.
1. Alonso A. (G) 19. Arcos A. 2. Curras J. 10. Gomez S. 21. Leiton M. 11. Lopez-Vadillo A. 24. Morcillo D. 22. Nunez B. 15. Nunez R. 16. Santiago A. 6. Tapia J. 5. Trapero
Coaches
Beltran F.
Rai Rosa
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Blanco A. 🟨,
45', Gallastegi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Barbu 🟨,
60', Palacin P. 🟨,
64', Dibrani B. ↓, Doncel C. ↑,
64', Lopez J. ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
66', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
69', Moreno A. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
69', Ramos I. ↓, Lopez-Vadillo A. ↑,
75', Carrillo H. ↓, Salguero A. ↑,
79', Guzman J. 🟨,
80', Palacin P. ↓, Morcillo D. ↑,
85', Barbu ↓, Jay A. ↑,
85', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Hallsson S. ↑,
85', Gallastegi J. ↓, Santiago A. ↑,
90+2', Calleja J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 17th in the Relegation).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Coria could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Mérida AD carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Mérida AD has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 0.8:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mérida AD against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).