Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 27

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Metlaoui Municipal stadium (Metlaoui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Métlaoui		Étoile du Sahel

	1	X	2
	3	2.68	2.45
	2.61	2.83	3.13
	3.12	2.63	2.58	Watch
	3	2.5	2.5
	3.08	2.67	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.58)	2.66 ↓ (2.73)	2.63 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Métlaoui
30.9%

Draw
34.4%

Étoile du Sahel
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

33.7%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

32.4%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Métlaoui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Métlaoui's performance.

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Étoile du Sahel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ben C. H. (G) 5. Bahri O. 19. Bodian C. 28. Boukhris Y. 29. Diame Pape M. 26. Hssine M. 8. Kouassi E. 9. Mansri H. 6. Meskini F. 14. Nana B. 15. Soltani Y.	32. Ben Hessen S. (G) 30. Anane R. 20. Ben Abdallah Y. 29. Ben Amor M. 19. Bouslama M. 9. Chaabani M. 13. Chouchane M. 5. Hnid N. 21. Kechrida W. 3. Naouali G. 35. Ouni R.
Substitutes
13. Bangoura A. 4. Bouani S. 30. Dinari J. 7. Fadaa R. 25. Fajraoui I. . Glele I. 10. Hajji B. 17. Hermes I. 1. Tlili K. (G)	8. Abid O. 10. Ben Seghaier M. 26. Boutmene Z. 4. Bouzaabia M. 18. Cristo 22. Horchani A. 39. Landolsi M. (G) 23. Ouertani M. A. 17. Smichi N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Soltani Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Mansri H. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Étoile du Sahel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Étoile du Sahel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:28. (average 0.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Métlaoui won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
13	Metlaoui	4	1	0	3	2:4	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Métlaoui
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
25.04.26	Gabès - Métlaoui	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ben Guerdane - Métlaoui	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Métlaoui - Olympique Béja	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Club Africain - Métlaoui	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTTL
- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Stade Gabèsien - Étoile du Sahel	4:3 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.04.26	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Stade Tunisien - Étoile du Sahel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.11.25	Étoile du Sahel - Métlaoui	2:0
22.02.25	Étoile du Sahel - Métlaoui	2:1
26.10.24	Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel	0:0
03.03.21	Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel	1:1
12.12.20	Étoile du Sahel - Métlaoui	2:0
22.02.20	Étoile du Sahel - Métlaoui	5:1
21.12.19	Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel	1:0

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