Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	México		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.58	2.98	2.58
	2.47	2.96	2.81
	2.5	2.99	2.84	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.43	3.02	2.71
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.34)	2.92 ↓ (3.25)	2.76 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

México
36.4%

Draw
30.9%

Torrejón
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

México - Torrejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
77', 🟥,
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, México won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tres Cantos - México	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	México - Carabanchel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Torrejón - Racing Madrid	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.02.25	Torrejón - México	1:1
28.09.24	México - Torrejón	0:1

México - Torrejón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide