Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Móstoles CF		Real Aranjuez

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	2.48
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.42	2.93	3.06
	2.61	3.13	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles CF
35.4%

Draw
31.1%

Real Aranjuez
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Real Aranjuez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles CF than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Aranjuez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles CF - Real Aranjuez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 7 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Second stage)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Móstoles CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Aranjuez have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles CF won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Móstoles CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.02.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Móstoles CF	0:2 ✺
10.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles CF	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Móstoles CF - Carabanchel	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Móstoles CF - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	El Álamo - Móstoles CF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLTT
- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
10.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles CF	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	El Álamo - Real Aranjuez	3:4 ✺
03.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Trival Valderas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles CF	1:1

Móstoles CF - Real Aranjuez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide