Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 20

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Real Aranjuez		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.8
	3.85	2.85	1.85
	4.46	3.11	1.79
	4.25	3.4	1.8
	4.2	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (5.58)	3.17 ↓ (3.61)	1.81 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Aranjuez
21.7%

Draw
28.4%

Móstoles URJC
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

25%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

24.4%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Aranjuez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Aranjuez's performance.

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Aranjuez than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Aranjuez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Aranjuez - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs)).

Real Aranjuez is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Móstoles URJC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Móstoles URJC is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Aranjuez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Aranjuez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Aranjuez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.02.23	Collado Villalba - Real Aranjuez	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Real Aranjuez - Canillas	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Real Aranjuez	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Real Aranjuez - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Real Aranjuez - CDE Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLTL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.02.23	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Las Rozas - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Alcalá - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.10.22	Móstoles URJC - Real Aranjuez	2:1
17.02.21	Real Aranjuez - Móstoles URJC	0:1
18.10.20	Móstoles URJC - Real Aranjuez	0:0

Real Aranjuez - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide