Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.56	3.6	5.6
	1.58	3.48	5.99	Watch
	1.57	3.64	5.86
	1.56	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)	3.57 ↓ (3.73)	5.72 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
58.6%

Draw
25.5%

Atlético Paso
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

24.3%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

23.5%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Atlético Paso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Móstoles URJC - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Garci ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
67', 2 - 0, Herrera O. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Ricoy L. ⚽, Pichin Dani (A),
74', 4 - 0, Ricoy L. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Paso is Relegated to

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Móstoles is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.25	Colonia Moscardó - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Tenerife B - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Coria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.04.25	Atlético Paso - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Illescas - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	Atlético Paso - Móstoles URJC	1:3

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