Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Tenerife B		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.55	3.8	4.6
	1.68	3.6	4.4
	1.7	3.63	4.49
	1.67	3.74	4.65
	1.68	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.14)	3.65 ↑ (3.15)	4.46 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife B
54.7%

Draw
24.9%

Móstoles URJC
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife B's performance.

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tenerife B - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Gabriel Palmero ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Sabina F. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Castro A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Tenerife B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Móstoles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tenerife B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tenerife B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Unión Adarve - Tenerife B	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tenerife B - Getafe B	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Tenerife B	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Cacereño - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Coria	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Illescas - Móstoles URJC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	Móstoles URJC - Tenerife B	0:1

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