Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Pozuelo de Alarcón

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.85	5.7
	1.68	3.57	4.83	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.44	3.75	7.12
	1.46	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	6.03 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
60.7%

Draw
24.2%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pozuelo de Alarcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pozuelo de Alarcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Clinton ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Sanchez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Móstoles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Móstoles is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Móstoles URJC - Parla	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL
- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.03.24	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	4:0
22.10.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC	2:3
05.03.23	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0
30.10.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC	1:1
19.01.20	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0
01.09.19	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC	1:2
03.02.19	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0

Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide