Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Móstoles URJC |
|
Trival Valderas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
4.45 |
|
 |
1.67 |
3.6 |
4.82 |
|
 |
1.24 |
5.78 |
9.74 |
 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.48 |
4.89 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.65 |
4.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.63) |
3.87 ↑
(3.65) |
5.58 ↑
(4.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Móstoles URJC
58.9% | Draw
24.3% | Trival Valderas
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)The ML Model estimate for Móstoles URJC aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', 2 - 0, Sanchez V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 1, Beni ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 1, Sanchez V. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.Móstoles is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Trival Valderas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.We predict that Móstoles will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 | | | 28.01.24 | Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas | 3:1 | | 10.09.23 | Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC | 2:1 | | 05.02.23 | Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas | 1:0 | | 02.10.22 | Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC | 3:0 | | 07.02.21 | Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas | 2:1 | | 23.02.20 | Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC | 1:2 | | 06.10.19 | Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas | 0:3 |
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