Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Mārupe		Rīgas FS 2

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.4	4.65	5.7
	1.42	4.57	5.86	Watch
	1.39	4.7	5.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)	4.61 ↓ (4.9)	5.74 ↓ (8.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mārupe
64.5%

Draw
19.7%

Rīgas FS 2
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.7%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

17.3%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mārupe's form might have worsened.

Rīgas FS 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rīgas FS 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mārupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rīgas FS 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Mārupe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RFS 2 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Mārupe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mārupe is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Marupe	21	9	2	10	34:32	2	29
12	RFS 2	21	4	3	14	34:62	-28	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
17.05.26	Riga 2 - Mārupe	0:4 ✺
09.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	JDFS Alberts - Mārupe	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Mārupe - Valmiera	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLL
- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
16.05.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Leevon PPK	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Skanstes - Rīgas FS 2	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	JFK Ventspils - Rīgas FS 2	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	JDFS Alberts - Rīgas FS 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
01.09.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	4:1
27.04.25	Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2	1:2
24.08.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe	3:1
28.04.24	Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2	1:2

Mārupe - Rīgas FS 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide