Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 7

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Tukums 2000 2		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	1.85
	3.05	3.7	1.95
	3.05	3.75	1.91
	3.32	3.95	1.86	Watch
	2.98	3.7	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.97)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	1.92 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000 2
29.1%

Draw
23.9%

Mārupe
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

24.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mārupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Minasyan A. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Speks R. ⚽, Penka R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 2, Calbergs D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

Recent form of Tukums 2000 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mārupe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mārupe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Marupe	21	9	2	10	34:32	2	29
10	Tukums 2000 2	21	5	3	13	27:60	-33	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
02.05.26	Leevon PPK - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
27.04.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Skanstes	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga Mariners	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	JFK Ventspils - Tukums 2000 2	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Metta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
02.05.26	Super Nova 2 - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	JDFS Alberts - Mārupe	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Mārupe - Valmiera	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Leevon PPK - Mārupe	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Mārupe - Skanstes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
27.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2
29.03.25	Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2	1:0
31.08.24	Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2	2:1
05.05.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	0:1

Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide