Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.52	3.7	2.22
	11.62	8.23	1.14	Watch
	2.45	3.68	2.33	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.66)	4.61 ↑ (3.58)	2.02 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
24.6%

Draw
23%

GKS Bełchatów
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

24.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mławianka Mława's form might have worsened.

GKS Bełchatów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Bełchatów's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mławianka Mława, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Bełchatów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Szymorek M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Poplawski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Stryjewski Ma. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Stryjewski Mi. ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, Poplawski K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mławianka Mława - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	Wasilków - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:4 ✺
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWL
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.25	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:6 ✺
31.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Troszyn - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.11.24	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	6:2
03.08.24	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	0:0
16.03.24	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:2
23.08.23	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	3:4

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