Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Wikielec

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.55	2.72
	2.21	3.74	2.7	Watch
	2.22	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 (2.2)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)	2.69 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
41.1%

Draw
25.2%

Wikielec
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Wikielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mławianka Mława - Wikielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mławianka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mławianka Mława - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Wasilków - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:4 ✺
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLTW
- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wikielec	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Wikielec - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wikielec - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Wikielec - Broń Radom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2
07.05.25	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	0:0
06.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:1
05.08.23	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	3:0

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