Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	MŠK Senec		Beluša

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.25	2.15
	2.80	3.35	2.10
	2.73	3.40	2.33
	3.1	3.55	2.05	Watch
	2.70	3.35	2.18
	2.70	3.71	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MŠK Senec
32.2%

Draw
26.3%

Beluša
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

26.4%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MŠK Senec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Beluša has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MŠK Senec than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beluša than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 5th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

MŠK Senec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, MŠK Senec has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for MŠK Senec against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Belusa	13	4	6	3	26:21	5	18
8	MSK Senec	13	5	1	7	13:22	-9	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MŠK Senec
Slovak 3 Liga West
16.10.26	MŠK Senec - Nové Zámky	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - MŠK Senec	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	MŠK Senec - Spartak Myjava	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Púchov - MŠK Senec	5:0 ✺
18.09.26	MŠK Senec - Dunajská Lužná	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- FK TJ Beluša
Slovak 3 Liga West
18.10.26	Beluša - Nitra	2:4 ✺
11.10.26	Trenčín B - Beluša	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Beluša - Nové Zámky	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - Beluša	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Beluša - Spartak Myjava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
22.03.26	Beluša - MŠK Senec	1:1
22.08.25	MŠK Senec - Beluša	1:0

MŠK Senec - Beluša