Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 23

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Náxara		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	1.98	3.11	3.59
	2.1	3.1	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.76)	3.07 ↓ (3.27)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
44.6%

Draw
29.4%

La Calzada
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náxara's form might have worsened.

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náxara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs)).

Náxara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

La Calzada is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Náxara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Náxara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Náxara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.02.23	Berceo - Náxara	1:5 ✺
19.02.23	Náxara - River Ebro	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Racing Rioja B - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Náxara - Anguiano	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Agoncillo - Náxara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.02.23	La Calzada - Calahorra B	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Comillas - La Calzada	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	La Calzada - Oyonesa	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Vianés - La Calzada	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	La Calzada - Yagüe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.10.22	La Calzada - Náxara	0:3

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