Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)


	Närpes		JPS

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	1.97	3.6	3.3
	2.02	3.6	3.24
	2.02	3.46	3.24
	1.99	3.64	3.32
	1.97	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	3.57 ↓ (4.3)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
46.1%

Draw
25.7%

JPS
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

21.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

21.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

The chances for JPS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Närpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JPS than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Närpes - JPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson Z. (G) 16. Avdili A. 6. Bjorkqvist T. 9. Isanovic S. 7. Kalabic A. 22. Larka A. 4. Muzyka O. 15. Rukundo F. 11. Sparv A. 17. Tkachenko V. 18. Westerholm A.	1. Lindfors E. (G) 16. Aatsinki S. 9. Arponen S. 26. Kopperoinen P. 8. Naskali T. 24. Niskajarvi J. (C) 11. Ojala K. 4. Peltoniemi J. 6. Purokuru L. 14. Rasanen S. 3. Salmi E.
Substitutes
31. Eriksson K. (G) 2. Hammarstrom O. 3. Laine H. 21. Olad A. 19. Pomba L. 14. Sabanovic A. 30. Skogman E.	23. Kemppainen L. 27. Luukinen A. 75. Rintatalo J. 99. Tuomainen A. (G) 7. Vahapesola M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Larka A. 🟨,
40', Naskali T. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Salmi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Rasanen S. ↓, Kemppainen L. ↑,
57', Isanovic S. 🟨,
59', Kalabic A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Westerholm A. ⚽,
66', Rukundo F. ↓, Laine H. ↑,
66', Sparv A. ↓, Hammarstrom O. ↑,
68', Hammarstrom O. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', Salmi E. ↓, Rintatalo J. ↑,
78', Tkachenko V. ↓, Olad A. ↑,
86', Westerholm A. ↓, Skogman E. ↑,
88', Kopperoinen P. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
18.05.24	OTP - Närpes	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Närpes - GBK Kokkola	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Närpes - JBK	1:5 ✺
20.04.24	Oulun Palloseura - Närpes	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	JS Hercules - Närpes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLTW
- JPS Football
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
18.05.24	JPS - JBK	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	JS Hercules - JPS	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	OTP - JPS	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	JPS - Kuopion Elo	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	JPS - GBK Kokkola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL

Närpes - JPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide