Match Info

2nd Division - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Næstved BK		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.30	2.60
	2.07	3.30	3.00
	2.34	3.65	2.86
	2.15	3.57	3.08	Watch
	2.20	3.45	2.80
	2.29	3.63	2.81
	2.23	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.9)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.84 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næstved BK
41.2%

Draw
26.6%

VSK Aarhus
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næstved BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Næstved BK's form might have worsened.

VSK Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VSK Aarhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Næstved BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VSK Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Næstved BK - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Nemec P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Næstved has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

VSK Aarhus is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

VSK Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Næstved could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Næstved won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	VSK Aarhus	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	14:12	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Næstved BK - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.22%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

VSK Aarhus - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næstved BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
18.08.26	Nykøbing - Næstved BK	2:1 penalties ✺
Danish 2 Division
14.08.26	Brabrand - Næstved BK	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Næstved BK - Hellerup	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.08.26	Næstved BK - Hvidovre	1:0 ✺
Danish 2 Division
31.07.26	Roskilde - Næstved BK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTWT
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 2 Division
15.08.26	VSK Aarhus - Thisted	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	VSK Aarhus - Fremad Amager	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Hellerup - VSK Aarhus	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Brabrand - VSK Aarhus	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Middelfart - VSK Aarhus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
16.11.25	Næstved BK - VSK Aarhus	2:2
30.08.25	VSK Aarhus - Næstved BK	1:3

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