Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	BR Fernsehen, FC Bayern TV


	Nürnberg II		Bayern Munich II

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.15	4.45
	1.61	4.37	4.67
	1.64	4.25	4.12
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.53	4.2	4.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)	4.19 ↑ (3.88)	4.48 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg II
57.7%

Draw
21.9%

Bayern Munich II
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

23.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg II's performance.

Bayern Munich II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich II than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Skowronek J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Gashi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
81', 2 - 1, Kusanovic T. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, El Haija K. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Yanda J. (Own goal),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg II won 2.

Nürnberg II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bayern II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nürnberg II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nürnberg II has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nürnberg II is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Nürnberg II will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg II won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg II won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bayern II	11	4	3	4	14:12	2	15
13	Nurnberg II	11	4	1	6	21:17	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
18.04.26	Eichstätt - Nürnberg II	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Augsburg II - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWWW
- Bayern Munich II
German Regionalliga Bayern
17.04.26	Bayern Munich II - Ansbach	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Würzburger Kickers - Bayern Munich II	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Bayern Munich II - Vilzing	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Wacker Burghausen - Bayern Munich II	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Greuther Fürth II - Bayern Munich II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
02.12.25	Bayern Munich II - Nürnberg II	0:3
15.11.24	Bayern Munich II - Nürnberg II	4:0
02.08.24	Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II	1:2
02.04.24	Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II	2:0
11.08.23	Bayern Munich II - Nürnberg II	2:2
17.05.23	Nürnberg II - Bayern Munich II	1:3
21.10.22	Bayern Munich II - Nürnberg II	1:3

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