Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Nürnberg II		Aubstadt

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	1.93	3.6	3.83
	1.88	3.52	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.23)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.59 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg II
48.1%

Draw
26.1%

Aubstadt
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg II's performance.

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aubstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aubstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nürnberg II - Aubstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Vertey V. 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, von der Hitz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Scobel P. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Kirsch B. ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, Rau E. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg II won 2.

Nürnberg II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aubstadt is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aubstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg II won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
13.09.25	Würzburger Kickers - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Nürnberg II - Vilzing	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Unterhaching - Nürnberg II	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nürnberg II - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Nürnberg II - Augsburg II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWW
- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.09.25	Unterhaching - Aubstadt	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Aubstadt - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vilzing - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
22.08.25	Aubstadt - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Ansbach - Aubstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
15.03.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:0
06.09.24	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	1:1
03.03.24	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:1
25.08.23	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	2:1
05.11.22	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:0
16.07.22	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	1:3
05.04.22	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	0:1

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