The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NJ NY Gotham 61.5%
Draw 20.7%
Portland Thorns 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
22.2%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
21.3%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for NJ NY Gotham have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NJ NY Gotham than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
NJ NY Gotham - Portland Thorns Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Berger A. (G) 23. Purce M. 27. Carter J. 15. Davidson T. (C) 18. Reiten G. 22. Freeman M. 7. Howell J. M. 13. McCaskill S. 2. Dudley J. 20. Kerr S. 10. Shaw J.
18. Arnold M. (G) 4. Calzada C. 16. Hiatt S. (C) 24. Perry J. 25. Vignola M. 20. Nijstad N. 21. Fleming J. 41. Lyles R. 10. Castellanos D. 19. Tordin P. 9. Wilson S.
Substitutes
28. Boade T. 3. Bruninha 1. Hogan S. (G) 24. Kitahata A. 5. O'Sullivan D. 14. Sommer T. 25. Speck M. 8. Torres T. 31. Wy T. (G)
6. Bogere C. 7. Hanks C. 15. Harvey S. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 23. Muller M. 2. Reyes R. 66. Turner R. 22. Weaver M.
Coaches
Harris S.
Vilahamn R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Nijstad N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Lyles R. ↓, Weaver M. ↑,
60', Castellanos D. ↓, Hanks C. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Shaw J. ⚽, Purce M. (A),
69', Dudley J. ↓, Bruninha ↑,
69', McCaskill S. ↓, O'Sullivan D. ↑,
69', Freeman M. ↓, Torres T. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Wilson S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Vignola M. 🟨,
90+6', Purce M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gotham won 3.
Gotham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Portland Thorns is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Gotham is the team to beat.
We predict that Gotham will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gotham won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gotham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).