Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 13

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	Nacional AM		Tuna Luso Brasileira

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.08	3.59
	1.98	3.34	3.54
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.11)	3.21 ↑ (2.96)	3.54 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
45.8%

Draw
28.4%

Tuna Luso Brasileira
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Nacional AM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tuna Luso in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nacional AM will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional AM won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.23	Princesa do Solimões - Nacional AM	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	Nacional AM - Trem	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	São Raimundo PR - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Nacional AM - Águia de Marabá	0:0 ✺
14.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW
- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
09.07.23	Tuna Luso Brasileira - São Francisco Rio Branco	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Humaitá	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Águia de Marabá - Tuna Luso Brasileira	1:3 ✺
18.06.23	Tuna Luso Brasileira - São Raimundo PR	4:1 ✺
14.06.23	Princesa do Solimões - Tuna Luso Brasileira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
14.05.23	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Nacional AM	2:1

Nacional AM - Tuna Luso Brasileira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide