Match Info

Copa Norte - Round 1

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena da Amazonia (Manaus)


	Nacional AM		Trem

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.18	8.23	Watch
	1.25	4.8	10.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	3.99 ↓ (4.02)	9.47 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
66.8%

Draw
23.4%

Trem
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Trem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trem than the current prediction. (+3%)

Nacional AM - Trem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Nacional AM is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Trem has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trem has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nacional AM is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Nacional AM will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nacional AM won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Nacional AM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
21.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Nacional AM - Parintins	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Manauara - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Princesa do Solimões - Nacional AM	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWT
- Trem Desportivo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
16.03.26	Trem - Ypiranga Clube	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Santos AP - Trem	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.26	Trem - Fluminense Piaui	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
02.03.26	Trem - Cristal AP	3:1 ✺
26.02.26	Trem - Independente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Nacional AM - Trem	2:0
27.05.23	Trem - Nacional AM	0:1
03.07.16	Trem - Nacional AM	0:0

Nacional AM - Trem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide