The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional PR 16.1%
Draw 33.7%
Galo Maringá 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
26.1%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
25.4%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional PR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Galo Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional PR than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galo Maringá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galo Maringá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Leandro Cordova ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Raphael Luz ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Iruan ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Andre Henrique ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Nacional PR is Qualified for Paranaense 2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Galo Maringá is Qualified for Paranaense 2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Recent performances by Nacional PR have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Galo Maringá is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Nacional PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Galo Maringá is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional PR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.