Match Info

Paranaense 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Galo Maringá		Nacional PR

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.65	3.7	4.25
	1.71	3.57	4.12
				Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.67
	1.38	4.25	7.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.46)	3.8 ↓ (4)	5.34 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galo Maringá
58.7%

Draw
24.1%

Nacional PR
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

21.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galo Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Nacional PR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galo Maringá than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galo Maringá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional PR than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Galo Maringá - Nacional PR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Dhiordan ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Davi ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Adiel ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 4 - 0, Papaleo F. ⚽,
85', Carlao 🟥,
86', 5 - 0, Adiel (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Galo Maringá is Qualified for Paranaense 2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Nacional PR is Qualified for Paranaense 2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Galo Maringá has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nacional PR's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Galo Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nacional PR has had a series of home games.

In this match, Galo Maringá is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Galo Maringá will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Galo Maringá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Galo Maringá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galo Maringá
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
28.06.25	Nacional PR - Galo Maringá	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Galo Maringá - Toledo	7:0 ✺
14.06.25	Toledo - Galo Maringá	0:3 ✺
08.06.25	Galo Maringá - Nacional PR	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Galo Maringá - Batel	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWW
- Nacional AC Sociedade Civil
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
28.06.25	Nacional PR - Galo Maringá	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Nacional PR - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Galo Maringá - Nacional PR	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Nacional PR - Laranja Mecânica	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Nacional PR - Batel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
28.06.25	Nacional PR - Galo Maringá	2:2
08.06.25	Galo Maringá - Nacional PR	2:1

Galo Maringá - Nacional PR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide