Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 8

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Nacional SP		Taquaritinga

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.28
	2.67	2.76	2.72
	3.14	2.86	2.36	Watch
	2.7	2.6	2.7
	2.43	3.1	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.06)	2.85 ↓ (3.01)	2.59 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional SP
32.7%

Draw
32%

Taquaritinga
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

29.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Taquaritinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taquaritinga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional SP - Taquaritinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, ⚽,
85', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Nacional SP is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Taquaritinga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.02.26	Tanabi - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Nacional SP - Lemense FC	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Nacional SP - Jacareí	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	VOCEM - Nacional SP	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	São Caetano - Nacional SP	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- CA Taquaritinga
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
28.02.26	Taquaritinga - Jacareí	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Taquaritinga - Penapolense	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lemense FC - Taquaritinga	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Taquaritinga - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Comercial SP - Taquaritinga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.01.25	Taquaritinga - Nacional SP	1:0
28.02.24	Nacional SP - Taquaritinga	1:1

Nacional SP - Taquaritinga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide