The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Taquaritinga 23.4%
Draw 32.3%
Penapolense 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
29.4%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
29.4%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taquaritinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taquaritinga's form might have worsened.
Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penapolense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taquaritinga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penapolense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Taquaritinga - Penapolense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Caio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, Brendon ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Penapolense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Taquaritinga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Taquaritinga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Watch
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