Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Nacka FC		Rågsved

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.60	2.85
	2.05	3.65	2.85
	2.25	3.76	2.49
	2.01	3.89	3.02	Watch
	2.04	3.65	2.8
	2.26	3.71	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.35)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	2.79 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacka FC
43%

Draw
24.4%

Rågsved
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

24.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacka FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacka FC's performance.

Rågsved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rågsved might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacka FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rågsved than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rågsved could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacka FC - Rågsved Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th in the Division 2 ~ Su00f6dra Svealand (Relegation) and 7th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Nacka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nacka has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 2.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nacka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ragsved	24	11	6	7	45:37	8	39
12	Nacka FC	24	7	3	14	26:45	-19	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacka FC
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
12.09.26	Sleipner - Nacka FC	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Nacka FC - Smedby	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Farsta - Nacka FC	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Forward - Nacka FC	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Nacka FC - Örebro Syrianska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLWW
- Rågsveds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
12.09.26	Lindö - Rågsved	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Rågsved - Haninge	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Nyköping - Rågsved	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Rågsved - Sleipner	0:4 ✺
16.08.26	Fittja - Rågsved	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
27.09.23	Rågsved - Nacka FC	3:1
28.04.23	Nacka FC - Rågsved	4:0

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