Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Naftan		Krumkachy Minsk

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.3
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.29
	3.18	3.34	2.19
	2.77	3.52	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.27 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naftan
32.3%

Draw
27.4%

Krumkachy Minsk
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

19.2%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Krumkachy Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naftan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumkachy Minsk than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krumkachy Minsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Naftan - Krumkachy Minsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Naftan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krumkachy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Krumkachy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Naftan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Naftan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
16.10.21	Slonim - Naftan	1:2 ✺
09.10.21	Naftan - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Naftan - Volna Pinsk	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Belshina - Naftan	4:0 ✺
19.09.21	Naftan - Baranovichi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTLW
- Krumkachy Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.10.21	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Krumkachy Minsk	0:2 ✺
16.10.21	Krumkachy Minsk - Belshina	1:3 ✺
10.10.21	Baranovichi - Krumkachy Minsk	2:3 ✺
03.10.21	Krumkachy Minsk - Lida	4:0 ✺
25.09.21	Orsha - Krumkachy Minsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.08.21	Krumkachy Minsk - Naftan	1:0
15.05.21	Naftan - Krumkachy Minsk	1:2
20.09.20	Naftan - Krumkachy Minsk	1:2
17.05.20	Krumkachy Minsk - Naftan	1:0
27.04.19	Krumkachy Minsk - Naftan	1:4
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.08.17	Krumkachy Minsk - Naftan	2:2
Belarusian Cup
22.07.17	Naftan - Krumkachy Minsk	1:2

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