The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Naftan 26.2%
Draw 25.4%
Baranovichi 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
28.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
28.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naftan's form might have worsened.
Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baranovichi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naftan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baranovichi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
20%
70%
Naftan - Baranovichi Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Naftan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Baranovichi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Baranovichi: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Naumovich A. (G) 97. Chernyavskiy V. 88. Drabatovich A. 39. Fedorenko D. 7. Gadzhiev S. 42. Jonathan J. 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. (C) 11. Pranovich I. 24. Seleznev I. 9. Yakovlev V.
12. Shapko D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 8. Balbukh V. 19. Bruy A. 20. Gusev B. 2. Kendysh S. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 33. Muzychenko K. 34. Petrenko A. 11. Ryabykh N.
Substitutes
4. Abrorov S. 17. Aleksandrovich A. 25. Matvey S. 22. Pritsker M. 70. Thioune S. 16. Titov A. (G)
5. Fedotov V. 29. Penchuk S. 7. Pukhov T. 27. Sarkisyan T. 3. Shcherbakov K. 26. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M. 23. Vasilenko V. 41. Volkovets D.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.
Kirenkin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Fedorenko D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Pranovich I. ⚽, Yakovlev V. (A),
34', Lebedev A. 🟨,
43', Pranovich I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gusev B. ↓, Pukhov T. ↑,
46', Kendysh S. ↓, Vasilenko V. ↑,
60', Gadzhiev S. 🟨,
63', Petrenko A. ↓, Penchuk S. ↑,
64', Gadzhiev S. ↓, Abrorov S. ↑,
71', Ryabykh N. ↓, Shcherbakov K. ↑,
74', Shcherbakov K. 🟨,
76', Yakovlev V. ↓, Pritsker M. ↑,
76', Seleznev I. ↓, Aleksandrovich A. ↑,
82', Drabatovich A. ↓, Matvey S. ↑,
87', Muzychenko K. ↓, Fedotov V. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 5.
Naftan is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Baranovichi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Baranovichi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).
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Naumovich A. (G) 
Fedorenko D. 
Jonathan J. 
Yakovlev V. 
Abrorov S. 
Thioune S. 
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