Match Info

Super League - Round 32

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Naivas		Darajani Gogo

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.37	4.37
				Watch
	1.71	3.44	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.08)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	4.43 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naivas
52.9%

Draw
26.6%

Darajani Gogo
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naivas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naivas's performance.

Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darajani Gogo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naivas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darajani Gogo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Austine S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Ponda R. K. (Pen),
22', 1 - 2, Ombima V. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Naivas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Naivas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naivas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Naivas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naivas FC
Kenyan Super League
30.04.25	Naivas - Mombasa Stars	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Naivas - Vihiga United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	MOFA - Naivas	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Naivas - Assad	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW
- Darajani Gogo
Kenyan Super League
04.05.25	Darajani Gogo - Assad	7:1 ✺
30.04.25	Darajani Gogo - MOFA	4:0 ✺
27.04.25	3K - Darajani Gogo	Darajani Gogo awarded ✺
19.04.25	Darajani Gogo - Kisumu All-Stars	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Mombasa Stars - Darajani Gogo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
11.12.24	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	3:1
05.11.23	Naivas - Darajani Gogo	0:0
04.02.23	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	0:0

Naivas - Darajani Gogo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide