Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday


	Najran		Al-Khaleej

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.72
	3.9	3.4	1.73
	3.61	3.98	1.82
	3.54	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.74)	3.7 ↑ (2.78)	1.77 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najran
23.7%

Draw
24.7%

Al-Khaleej
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

33.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Najran's form might have worsened.

Al-Khaleej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Khaleej's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najran than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Najran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Khaleej, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Najran - Al Khaleej Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Najran will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Khaleej will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Khaleej: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Najran won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Al-Khaleej is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Najran won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Najran won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
23.05.22	Al-Qadisiya - Najran	0:0 ✺
18.05.22	Najran - Bisha	3:0 ✺
10.05.22	Al-Jabalain - Najran	2:0 ✺
05.05.22	Najran - Al Akhdoud	2:2 ✺
19.04.22	Al-Jeel - Najran	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLTW
- Al-Khaleej Club of Saihat
Saudi Division 1
23.05.22	Al-Khaleej - Al-Sahel Qatif	1:0 ✺
17.05.22	Al-Adalh - Al-Khaleej	0:0 ✺
11.05.22	Al-Khaleej - Jeddah	1:1 ✺
05.05.22	Hajer - Al-Khaleej	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Bisha - Al-Khaleej	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
12.01.22	Al-Khaleej - Najran	2:1
14.02.21	Najran - Al-Khaleej	1:1
04.03.20	Najran - Al-Khaleej	4:1
09.10.19	Al-Khaleej - Najran	2:3
19.03.19	Najran - Al-Khaleej	1:1
30.10.18	Al-Khaleej - Najran	1:0
11.04.18	Al-Khaleej - Najran	1:1

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