Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 2 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Khobar)


	Al-Qadisiya		Najran

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	4.8
	1.5	3.75	5.75
	1.7	2.62	6.2
	1.65	3	5.25
	1.65	3.38	5.05	Watch
	1.66	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.32)	3.2 ↓ (4.28)	5.38 ↓ (8.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qadisiya
55.1%

Draw
28.2%

Najran
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

21%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

19.7%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qadisiya's form might have worsened.

Najran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Najran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najran than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Najran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Al Qadisiya - Najran Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Qadisiya: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Qadisiya is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Najran is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Najran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Qadisiya is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Qadisiya won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Qadisiya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Division 1
28.01.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya	0:0 ✺
23.01.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Qadisiya	1:0 ✺
17.01.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Qadisiya	2:0 ✺
10.01.23	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Faisaly	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLTT
- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
27.01.23	Najran - Ohud Medina	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Najran - Al Akhdoud	0:4 ✺
11.01.23	Hajer - Najran	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Al-Kholood - Najran	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Najran - Al-Sahel Qatif	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
29.08.22	Najran - Al-Qadisiya	1:1
23.05.22	Al-Qadisiya - Najran	0:0
04.01.22	Najran - Al-Qadisiya	2:1

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