Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Najran		Hajer

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.4
	1.67	3.5	4.5
	1.64	3.76	4.62
	1.62	3.3	4.75
	1.64	3.74	4.8
	1.68	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.35)	3.59 ↑ (3.03)	4.58 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najran
55%

Draw
25.2%

Hajer
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Najran's performance.

Hajer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najran than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Najran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajer than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Najran - Hajer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Najran will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Hajer will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Najran: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Najran won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hajer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Najran will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Najran won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Najran won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
15.05.23	Najran - Al-Kholood	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Al-Sahel Qatif - Najran	3:2 ✺
05.05.23	Al-Faisaly - Najran	2:2 ✺
01.05.23	Najran - Al-Qaisumah	1:1 ✺
25.04.23	Al-Orobah - Najran	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTTL
- Hajer Club
Saudi Division 1
15.05.23	Hajer - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
08.05.23	Al-Orobah - Hajer	0:1 ✺
03.05.23	Hajer - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Al-Kholood - Hajer	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Hajer - Al-Qaisumah	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
11.01.23	Hajer - Najran	1:1
14.02.22	Najran - Hajer	0:1
05.10.21	Hajer - Najran	0:0
02.04.19	Najran - Hajer	1:1
13.11.18	Hajer - Najran	1:0
20.03.18	Hajer - Najran	1:0
Saudi Professional League
03.04.16	Hajer - Najran	1:2

Najran - Hajer