Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday

Location: King Salman Sport City Stadium (Harmah)


	Al-Faisaly		Najran

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.45	4.2	6
	1.36	4.41	7.72
	1.35	3.75	8
	1.37	4.33	8
	1.41	4.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.85)	4.17 ↑ (3.1)	7.13 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
65.4%

Draw
21.8%

Najran
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

30.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Faisaly's performance.

Najran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Najran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Faisaly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najran than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Najran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Al Faisaly - Najran Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Najran will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Faisaly won 3.

Al-Faisaly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Najran is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Al-Faisaly have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Faisaly is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Al-Faisaly won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Faisaly won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
01.05.23	Al Hazem - Al-Faisaly	0:1 ✺
26.04.23	Al-Faisaly - Ohud Medina	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Faisaly	2:2 ✺
11.04.23	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Faisaly	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWTWT
- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
01.05.23	Najran - Al-Qaisumah	1:1 ✺
25.04.23	Al-Orobah - Najran	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Najran - Jeddah	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Najran - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
13.03.23	Al-Shoalah - Najran	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
02.11.22	Najran - Al-Faisaly	0:1
Saudi Professional League
22.04.16	Al-Faisaly - Najran	2:2
09.12.15	Najran - Al-Faisaly	0:1
22.03.15	Al-Faisaly - Najran	0:1
16.10.14	Najran - Al-Faisaly	0:1
22.03.14	Al-Faisaly - Najran	1:0
29.11.13	Najran - Al-Faisaly	1:0

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