Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 22

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium (Nakhon Pathom)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nakhon Pathom United		Chanthaburi

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.05	2.68	Watch
	2.44	3.05	2.79
	2.47	3.01	2.81	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.7
	2.42	2.97	2.75
	2.42	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Pathom United
37.1%

Draw
30.1%

Chanthaburi
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chanthaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chanthaburi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Nakhon Pathom United - Chanthaburi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Chanthaburi will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chanthaburi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Chanthaburi (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chanthaburi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Prachuabmon C. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Douglas Tardin ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Nakhon Pathom United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chanthaburi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakhon Pathom United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Chanthaburi	4	1	1	2	5:5	0	4
13	Nakhon Pathom	4	0	4	0	3:3	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 2
01.02.26	Songkhla - Nakhon Pathom United	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Nakhon Si United	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Chainat - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
14.01.26	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Pathom United	2:0 ✺
Thai League 2
10.01.26	Nakhon Pathom United - Sisaket United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTLT
- Chanthaburi FC
Thai League 2
30.01.26	Chanthaburi - Rasisalai United	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chanthaburi	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Chanthaburi - Trat	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Pattaya United - Chanthaburi	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Chanthaburi - Pattani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
20.09.25	Chanthaburi - Nakhon Pathom United	1:3

Nakhon Pathom United - Chanthaburi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide