Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nakhon Pathom United		MOF Customs United

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	1.95	3.2	3.1
	1.95	2.75	3.9
	2.05	2.9	3.74	Watch
	2.01	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.35)	2.97 ↓ (3)	3.56 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Pathom United
44.8%

Draw
30.1%

MOF Customs United
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nakhon Pathom United's performance.

MOF Customs United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOF Customs United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nakhon Pathom United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOF Customs United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOF Customs United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Nakhon Pathom United - MOF Customs United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Customs United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 9).

Recent matches Nakhon Pathom United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Customs United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nakhon Pathom United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakhon Pathom United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 2
29.01.23	Phrae United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
25.01.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Pathum United	2:3 ✺
Thai League 2
21.01.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Uthai Thani	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Krabi - Nakhon Pathom United	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Chiangmai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTW
- MOF Customs United
Thai League 2
28.01.23	MOF Customs United - Samut Prakan City	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Udon Thani - MOF Customs United	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	MOF Customs United - Ranong United	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Chainat - MOF Customs United	2:1 ✺
10.12.22	MOF Customs United - Rajpracha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
18.09.22	MOF Customs United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:1
27.02.22	MOF Customs United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:1
17.10.21	Nakhon Pathom United - MOF Customs United	4:4
13.02.21	Nakhon Pathom United - MOF Customs United	3:0
13.09.20	MOF Customs United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:2

Nakhon Pathom United - MOF Customs United