Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium (Nakhon Pathom)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Nakhon Pathom United		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.45	3.5	1.91
	3.95	3.7	1.94
	3.67	3.63	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.68	3.74	1.89	Watch
	3.45	3.5	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.86)	3.55 ↓ (3.72)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Pathom United
25.4%

Draw
25.8%

Pathum United
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

24.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Nakhon Pathom United - Pathum United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Srathongjan W. (G) 47. Sangtong A. 65. Auksornsri T. 5. Filipovic V. 31. Phumipha E. A. 66. Chaolaokhwan S. 6. Phupha J. 13. Ablorh L. (C) 22. Viriyachanchai P. 9. Shamsaldin A. 10. Ito T.	28. Anuin S. (G) 81. Choolthong W. 78. Gomis C. 5. Kaman K. (C) 23. Channgom S. 8. Doloh A. 6. Yooyen S. 17. Notsuda G. 2. Nonthasila S. 11. Gustavsson P. 75. Raniel
Substitutes
28. Abu Khalil M. 59. Buathong W. (G) 14. Chim-ong T. 3. Chuchai C. 26. Hamzah M. 4. Laohabut T. 55. Otton C. 7. Phutchan K. 17. Ruengsamoot T. 33. Sangrum A. 15. Tierney F. 23. Wisetchat N.	93. Dokmaikeaw P. (G) 91. Fandi I. 29. Jamnongwat W. 49. Poladao K. 50. Puethong T. 24. Puspakom K. 16. Sandokhadze N. 18. Songkrasin C. 26. Suknate T. 45. Suksum N. 85. Waewdee I. (G)
Coaches
Yodyardthai S.	Hudson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Shamsaldin A. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Raniel ⚽, Notsuda G. (A),
45+1', Choolthong W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', Filipovic V. ↓, Ruengsamoot T. ↑,
57', Doloh A. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
57', Gustavsson P. ↓, Fandi I. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Raniel (Pen),
73', Phumipha E. A. ↓, Sangrum A. ↑,
73', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Chim-ong T. ↑,
77', Gomis C. ↓, Sandokhadze N. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Fandi I. ⚽, Raniel (A),
84', 1 - 3, Choolthong W. (Own goal),
87', Phupha J. ↓, Tierney F. ↑,
89', Raniel ↓, Puethong T. ↑,
89', Channgom S. ↓, Jamnongwat W. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 4, Puethong T. ⚽, Nonthasila S. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 3).

Nakhon Pathom United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pathum United is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pathum United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nakhon Pathom United have a series of guest games.

In this match Pathum United is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
02.03.25	Prachuap - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
15.02.25	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Khonkaen United	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Chiangrai United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWL
- BG Pathum United
Singapore Cup
02.03.25	Balestier Khalsa - Pathum United	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
01.03.25	Pathum United - Muangthong United	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	3:1 ✺
Thai League 1
22.02.25	Pathum United - Prachuap	1:0 ✺
Singapore Cup
16.02.25	Pathum United - Geylang	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
26.10.24	Pathum United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1
19.05.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Pathum United	1:3
24.12.23	Pathum United - Nakhon Pathom United	1:2
Thai League Cup
25.01.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Pathum United	2:3

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